Stock Radio
Frequency Identification RFID
RFID (radio
frequency identification) technology should exhibit growth in 2004.
According to economists, Stock Radio Frequency Identification RFID
being adopted more rapidly in 2005, and it is closely linked to
fundamental improvements in the warehousing, logistics,
transportation, retail, and some other sectors.
VOIP, Wi-Max,
and other related communications technologies. They think VoIP can
really take off in 2004, and there will be some good opportunities
to play this trend via stocks such as EGHT, IBAS, VOCL, DDDC, ALVR,
ISEC, AUDC, NRRD, and INAP. Their favorites in this group are EGHT
and ALVR.
They think
Linux begins to look more attractive, via stocks like RHAT, in 2004.
So long as consumer resistance continues to build against
Microsoft's relatively weaker products, then Red Hat should continue
to grow.
TCP/IP-6: The
Internet currently operates with TCP/IPv4. Moving to IPv6 will
enable and stimulate the development of new applications. Ipv6
should also lead to IP telephony on quite a large scale.
High Definition
or Digital TV should experience more growth in 2004 and into 2005.
One name They like in this space is Spatialite (HDTV:Nasdaq).
Modest
technology drivers for certain technology stocks would likely
include increased consumer adoption rates, increased levels of
broadband access, higher adoption rates for wireless technologies,
and a continuing trend toward embedded intelligence (chips; storage,
etc)
Huge up move in
the tech sector, largely because significant and sustainable growth
(particularly of the large cap technology Stock Radio Frequency
Identification RFID) is difficult. First, in 2003 we came off our
trough lows so the growth in 2003 was off an unsustainably low base.
Second, the technology industry evolved from having been more
vertically integrated to being composed of more technology-specific
industries. Two or three firms are now established as leaders of a
sector with scale and low-cost advantages (think Microsoft, Dell,
Intel, Applied Materials, etc.). Consequently, opportunities for
market share shifts between companies in these more mature sectors
are smaller.
Third, the five
main technology drivers that propelled growth during the last 5
years are now mature. These trends are TCP/IP, GUI Interfaces,
microprocessors, relational Databases, and the Internet (www).
However, emerging growth in technologies such as VOIP and Linux
should provide growth in the smaller cap tech sector. Other growth
themes include companies with a dominant leadership position, which
can leverage that position with continued market share gains.
Examples include Dell and Qualcomm. Companies that can leverage the
Internet in delivering new services to customers should do well; in
particular, companies that facilitate bill remittance and payment
via the web. (Although not close to this particular name, Checkfree
comes to mind as an example.) Lastly, IT services companies should
begin to see budgets loosen up allowing for new contract
expenditures. This should benefit RFID deployments, likely to occur
in the back half of 2004, and benefit the Stock Radio Frequency
Identification RFID of Symbol Technologies (whose “monololy-like”
domination of the AutoID Bar Coding segment will be extended with
growth in its RFID business).
There has been
a solid improvement in Stock Radio Frequency Identification RFID
fundamentals during 2003 expect deterioration in tech fundamentals
in 2004, but neither, surge in fundamental strength across the
board, either. Stock Radio Frequency Identification RFID can move on
economic benefits at companies or new technology drivers, or a
combination of the two. For 2004, in general they would expect Stock
Radio Frequency Identification RFID to move more on company
economics than new technologies.
Fundamentally,
they could see growth in corporate operating cash flows. They would
also expect to see a cyclical investment cycle, such as ongoing
rotations out of semiconductor stocks and into software. As
companies continue to tighten their belts, they would also foresee
continued declines in operating costs and accompanying improvements
in operating leverage. Growth cyclical propelled out-performance in
2003 as technology stocks began to discount the increased operating
leverage in their business models.